Main
Featherweight
Aljamain Sterling vs Youssef Zalal
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Aljamain Sterling
Youssef Zalal
67%
33%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
37
Age
Δ 7y
30
27-5
Career record
Δ 11 pp
19-6-1
W1
Current streak
W5
22
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Sterling: 46 sig / 6 TD ·
Zalal: 35 sig / 0 TD
Aljamain Sterling
Youssef Zalal
51
Sig strikes landed
38
87
Sig strikes attempted
94
88
Total strikes landed
60
2.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
7.5
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
225s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Aljamain Sterling
"Funk Master"
27-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
22 fights · 17-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zha…
—
L
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
—
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
L
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
Blue corner
W5
Youssef Zalal
"The Moroccan Devil"
19-6-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
12 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—