Back to UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
Prelims2 Lightweight

Viacheslav Borshchev vs Matheus Camilo

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev ·Madison Square Garden
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Viacheslav Borshchev
Matheus Camilo
29% 71%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
34
Age
Δ 9y
25
8-8-1
Career record
Δ 24 pp
10-4
L2
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Borshchev: 65 sig / 0 TD · Camilo: 39 sig / 5 TD
Viacheslav Borshchev
Matheus Camilo
31
Sig strikes landed
32
60
Sig strikes attempted
61
49
Total strikes landed
49
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.6
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
76s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
31%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Viacheslav Borshchev

"Slava Claus"
8-8-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 9 fights · 3-5
Last 5
L UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
—
L UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
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W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
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D UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
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Blue corner
L1

Matheus Camilo

"Jaguar"
10-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Mora…
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