Prelims2
Welterweight
Punahele Soriano vs Nikolay Veretennikov
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Punahele Soriano
Nikolay Veretennikov
73%
27%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
33
Age
Δ 3y
36
14-4
Career record
Δ 13 pp
15-8
W2
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Soriano: 39 sig / 4 TD ·
Veretennikov: 9 sig / 0 TD
Punahele Soriano
Nikolay Veretennikov
48
Sig strikes landed
33
83
Sig strikes attempted
72
59
Total strikes landed
43
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
136s
Control time
69s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Punahele Soriano
"Puna"
14-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
Blue corner
W1
Nikolay Veretennikov
"Gladiator"
15-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
—