Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Patchy Mix
Jakub Wiklacz
55%
45%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
32
Age
Δ 3y
29
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Mix: 37 sig / 5 TD ·
Wiklacz: 46 sig / 0 TD
Patchy Mix
Jakub Wiklacz
33
Sig strikes landed
76
101
Sig strikes attempted
153
85
Total strikes landed
94
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.1
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.60
Knockdowns
0.20
103s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Patchy Mix
"No Love"
20-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—
Blue corner
Jakub Wiklacz
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29