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Prelims1 Lightweight

Mitch Ramirez vs Mike Davis

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira ·Bridgestone Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Mitch Ramirez
Mike Davis
36% 64%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
33
Age
Δ 0y
33
8-4
Career record
Δ 8 pp
12-4
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Ramirez: 51 sig / 0 TD · Davis: 47 sig / 1 TD
Mitch Ramirez
Mike Davis
25
Sig strikes landed
42
70
Sig strikes attempted
87
35
Total strikes landed
71
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.7
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
68s
Control time
182s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Mitch Ramirez

8-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
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Blue corner
L1

Mike Davis

"Beast Boy"
12-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
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W UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
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W UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
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W UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
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W UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
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