Back to Road to UFC 4.3 + 4.4
Main Lightweight

Jack Becker vs JaeHyun Park

Road to UFC 4.3 + 4.4 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Jack Becker
JaeHyun Park
50% 50%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
32
Age
Δ 9y
23
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Becker: 9 sig / 1 TD · Park: 52 sig / 2 TD
Jack Becker
JaeHyun Park
30
Sig strikes landed
23
51
Sig strikes attempted
49
52
Total strikes landed
34
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
174s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
30%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jack Becker

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
L1

JaeHyun Park

"The First Prospect"
8-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L Road to UFC 2.5 + 2.6
—