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Main Bantamweight

Rui Imura vs Nghiem Van Y

Road to UFC 4.3 + 4.4 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Rui Imura
Nghiem Van Y
64% 36%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
26
Age
Δ 0y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Imura: 15 sig / 1 TD · Van Y: 38 sig / 0 TD
Rui Imura
Nghiem Van Y
38
Sig strikes landed
31
79
Sig strikes attempted
64
56
Total strikes landed
42
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
149s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Rui Imura

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
Blue corner

Nghiem Van Y

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26