Back to UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Ricky Simon vs Cameron Smotherman

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley ·State Farm Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Ricky Simon
Cameron Smotherman
75% 25%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
23-7-1
Career record
Δ 14 pp
12-8
W1
Current streak
L1
14
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Simon: 34 sig / 3 TD · Smotherman: 29 sig / 0 TD
Ricky Simon
Cameron Smotherman
60
Sig strikes landed
52
131
Sig strikes attempted
121
77
Total strikes landed
57
2.5
Takedowns landed
0.2
6.8
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
255s
Control time
9s
Method
Decision
83%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
5%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Ricky Simon

23-7-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 14 fights · 9-5
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
L UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
W UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
Blue corner
L1

Cameron Smotherman

"The Baby-Faced Killa"
12-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—