Back to UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Vanessa Demopoulos

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley ·State Farm Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Vanessa Demopoulos
68% 32%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 6"
60"
35
Age
Δ 2y
37
9-4
Career record
Δ 14 pp
11-9
L1
Current streak
L2
4
UFC fights in our DB
9

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Horth: 101 sig / 2 TD · Demopoulos: 36 sig / 0 TD
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Vanessa Demopoulos
54
Sig strikes landed
45
112
Sig strikes attempted
108
79
Total strikes landed
64
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
148s
Control time
187s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jamey-Lyn Horth

9-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
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L UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
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W UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
Blue corner
L2

Vanessa Demopoulos

"Lil Monster"
11-9
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Mur…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
—
W UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—