Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Djorden Santos
Ozzy Diaz
68%
32%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
79"
28
Age
Δ 7y
34
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Santos: 131 sig / 1 TD ·
Diaz: 135 sig / 0 TD
Djorden Santos
Ozzy Diaz
31
Sig strikes landed
26
52
Sig strikes attempted
44
59
Total strikes landed
35
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
176s
Control time
80s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Djorden Santos
"Shakur"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
L1
Ozzy Diaz
10-5
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
—