Back to UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Main Middleweight

Marvin Vettori vs Roman Dolidze

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 ·Meta Apex
Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Marvin Vettori
Roman Dolidze
62% 38%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
32
Age
Δ 5y
37
19-11-1
Career record
Δ 15 pp
16-5
L1
Current streak
W2
15
UFC fights in our DB
11

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Vettori: 111 sig / 0 TD · Dolidze: 141 sig / 0 TD
Marvin Vettori
Roman Dolidze
59
Sig strikes landed
76
103
Sig strikes attempted
131
83
Total strikes landed
78
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.3
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
135s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Marvin Vettori

"The Italian Dream"
19-11-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 15 fights · 9-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
W UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
L UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
L UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
Blue corner
W2

Roman Dolidze

16-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree J…
—
W UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
L UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—