Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Josefine Knutsson vs Piera Rodriguez
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
·Amalie Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Josefine Knutsson
Piera Rodriguez
60%
40%
Why
60"
Reach
Δ 4"
64"
29
Age
Δ 3y
32
9-1
Career record
Δ 10 pp
12-3
W2
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Knutsson: 26 sig / 0 TD ·
Rodriguez: 36 sig / 8 TD
Josefine Knutsson
Piera Rodriguez
41
Sig strikes landed
57
113
Sig strikes attempted
122
74
Total strikes landed
82
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.5
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
239s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Josefine Knutsson
"Thunder"
9-1
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
Blue corner
L2
Piera Rodriguez
"La Fiera"
12-3
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
W
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—