Back to UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira
Prelims1 Heavyweight

Austen Lane vs Robelis Despaigne

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Austen Lane
Robelis Despaigne
57% 43%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 4"
84"
37
Age
Δ 1y
36
13-9
Career record
Δ 3 pp
5-3
L2
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lane: 23 sig / 3 TD · Despaigne: 31 sig / 0 TD
Austen Lane
Robelis Despaigne
15
Sig strikes landed
29
25
Sig strikes attempted
47
31
Total strikes landed
40
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.1
2.5
Takedowns attempted
0.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
159s
Control time
53s
Method
Decision
14%
KO/TKO
78%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Austen Lane

13-9 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 3 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
—
L UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
Blue corner
L1

Robelis Despaigne

"The Big Boy"
5-3
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
84"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
W UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—