Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kiru Sahota
Ruel Panales
68%
32%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 6"
67"
29
Age
Δ 2y
28
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sahota: 84 sig / 1 TD ·
Panales: 38 sig / 1 TD
Kiru Sahota
Ruel Panales
42
Sig strikes landed
23
80
Sig strikes attempted
56
56
Total strikes landed
39
1.6
Takedowns landed
2.0
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
272s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Kiru Sahota
13-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Road to UFC 3.3 + 3.4
—
Blue corner
Ruel Panales
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28