Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Jacqueline Cavalcanti vs Josiane Nunes
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Josiane Nunes
67%
33%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
67"
27
Age
Δ 4y
31
11-2
Career record
Δ 18 pp
10-5
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Cavalcanti: 91 sig / 0 TD ·
Nunes: 52 sig / 0 TD
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Josiane Nunes
79
Sig strikes landed
72
144
Sig strikes attempted
171
80
Total strikes landed
87
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.0
0.4
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
24s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
5%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
11-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
Blue corner
L1
Josiane Nunes
"Josi"
10-5
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
W
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—