Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cortavious Romious
Michael Imperato
70%
30%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
31
Age
Δ 4y
35
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Romious: 40 sig / 0 TD ·
Imperato: 29 sig / 1 TD
Cortavious Romious
Michael Imperato
24
Sig strikes landed
39
61
Sig strikes attempted
75
39
Total strikes landed
55
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
104s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Cortavious Romious
9-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 7.10
—
Blue corner
Michael Imperato
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
35