Back to DWCS 8.2
Main Bantamweight

Billy Brand vs Cody Haddon

DWCS 8.2 ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Billy Brand
Cody Haddon
41% 59%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
28
Age
Δ 2y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Brand: 9 sig / 0 TD · Haddon: 27 sig / 1 TD
Billy Brand
Cody Haddon
33
Sig strikes landed
40
71
Sig strikes attempted
80
44
Total strikes landed
56
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
98s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Billy Brand

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Cody Haddon

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26