Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Wes Schultz
66%
34%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
27
Age
Δ 1y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Abdul-Malik: 48 sig / 0 TD ·
Schultz: 46 sig / 2 TD
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Wes Schultz
39
Sig strikes landed
35
79
Sig strikes attempted
72
55
Total strikes landed
51
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
149s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Mansur Abdul-Malik
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Wes Schultz
"Party Time"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28