Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Dooho Choi
Bill Algeo
66%
34%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
33
Age
Δ 2y
35
17-4-2
Career record
Δ 10 pp
18-10
D1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Choi: 21 sig / 2 TD ·
Algeo: 17 sig / 2 TD
Dooho Choi
Bill Algeo
45
Sig strikes landed
50
98
Sig strikes attempted
101
51
Total strikes landed
68
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
64s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
D1
Dooho Choi
"The Korean Superboy"
17-4-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
7 fights · 3-3
Last 5
D
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
L
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—
Blue corner
L1
Bill Algeo
"Senor Perfecto"
18-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
35
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—