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Main Flyweight

John Dave Almanza vs Angad Bisht

Road to UFC 3.3 + 3.4 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
John Dave Almanza
Angad Bisht
67% 33%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
67"
20
Age
Δ 9y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Almanza: 7 sig / 0 TD · Bisht: 21 sig / 1 TD
John Dave Almanza
Angad Bisht
36
Sig strikes landed
35
75
Sig strikes attempted
73
50
Total strikes landed
56
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
150s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

John Dave Almanza

"The Striker"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
20
Blue corner

Angad Bisht

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29