Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Vanessa Demopoulos vs Emily Ducote
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Vanessa Demopoulos
Emily Ducote
45%
55%
Why
60"
Reach
Δ 4"
63"
36
Age
Δ 5y
30
12-8
Career record
Δ 1 pp
14-9
W1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Demopoulos: 109 sig / 0 TD ·
Ducote: 143 sig / 0 TD
Vanessa Demopoulos
Emily Ducote
80
Sig strikes landed
83
175
Sig strikes attempted
189
100
Total strikes landed
97
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.1
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
157s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
84%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Vanessa Demopoulos
"Lil Monster"
12-8
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Gre…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
W1
Emily Ducote
"Gordinha"
14-9
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—