Prelims2
Bantamweight
Deiveson Figueiredo vs Cody Garbrandt
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Deiveson Figueiredo
Cody Garbrandt
74%
26%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
36
Age
Δ 4y
33
26-7-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
16-7
W1
Current streak
W2
15
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Figueiredo: 13 sig / 1 TD ·
Garbrandt: 16 sig / 0 TD
Deiveson Figueiredo
Cody Garbrandt
42
Sig strikes landed
33
75
Sig strikes attempted
77
49
Total strikes landed
38
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.50
Knockdowns
0.40
94s
Control time
37s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Deiveson Figueiredo
"Deus da Guerra"
26-7-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
15 fights · 11-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
L
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
D
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
Blue corner
W2
Cody Garbrandt
"No Love"
16-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
14 fights · 9-5
Last 5
W
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
L
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
W
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—