Prelims1
Featherweight
Nate Landwehr vs Jamall Emmers
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
·Boardwalk Hall
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Nate Landwehr
Jamall Emmers
44%
56%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
36
Age
Δ 1y
35
18-9
Career record
Δ 8 pp
23-8
L1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Landwehr: 37 sig / 0 TD ·
Emmers: 39 sig / 0 TD
Nate Landwehr
Jamall Emmers
57
Sig strikes landed
64
132
Sig strikes attempted
145
77
Total strikes landed
79
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.6
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
101s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Nate Landwehr
"The Train"
18-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jamall Emmers
"Pretty Boy"
23-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—