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Prelims1 Lightweight

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs Loik Radzhabov

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
Loik Radzhabov
64% 36%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
29
Age
Δ 5y
34
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Al-Selwady: 38 sig / 3 TD · Radzhabov: 39 sig / 4 TD
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
Loik Radzhabov
36
Sig strikes landed
34
72
Sig strikes attempted
73
53
Total strikes landed
52
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.3
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
118s
Control time
198s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

"Pride of Palestine"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
L1

Loik Radzhabov

"The Tajik Tank"
18-7-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
W UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane