Prelims1
Welterweight
Themba Gorimbo vs Pete Rodriguez
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Themba Gorimbo
Pete Rodriguez
59%
41%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 6"
71"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
15-7
Career record
Δ 7 pp
6-2
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Gorimbo: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Rodriguez: 0 sig / 0 TD
Themba Gorimbo
Pete Rodriguez
27
Sig strikes landed
20
42
Sig strikes attempted
30
57
Total strikes landed
34
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.2
3.6
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
241s
Control time
61s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Themba Gorimbo
"Mamba"
15-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
Blue corner
W1
Pete Rodriguez
"Dead Game"
6-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
L
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—