Back to UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Serhiy Sidey vs Ramon Taveras

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Serhiy Sidey
Ramon Taveras
74% 26%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Sidey: 79 sig / 0 TD · Taveras: 62 sig / 0 TD
Serhiy Sidey
Ramon Taveras
39
Sig strikes landed
33
81
Sig strikes attempted
66
57
Total strikes landed
46
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
141s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Serhiy Sidey

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
Blue corner

Ramon Taveras

"The Savage"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30