Back to UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
🏆 Title fight Main Middleweight

Sean Strickland vs Dricus Du Plessis

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis ·Scotiabank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Sean Strickland
Dricus Du Plessis
62% 38%
Why
76"
Reach
76"
33
Age
Δ 3y
30
32-7
Career record
Δ 7 pp
24-3
W3
Current streak
W6
20
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
Strickland: 173 sig / 0 TD · Du Plessis: 137 sig / 6 TD
Sean Strickland
Dricus Du Plessis
75
Sig strikes landed
106
192
Sig strikes attempted
239
89
Total strikes landed
128
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.3
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.60
49s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Sean Strickland

32-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 20 fights · 15-5
Last 5
W UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
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W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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L UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
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Blue corner
W6

Dricus Du Plessis

"Stillknocks"
24-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database 6 fights · 6-0
Last 5
W UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
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W UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
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W UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
W UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
W UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—