Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Sodiq Yusuff
Edson Barboza
64%
36%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
30
Age
Δ 7y
38
14-5
Career record
Δ 10 pp
25-14
W2
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Yusuff: 178 sig / 1 TD ·
Barboza: 164 sig / 3 TD
Sodiq Yusuff
Edson Barboza
63
Sig strikes landed
67
128
Sig strikes attempted
148
89
Total strikes landed
83
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
131s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Sodiq Yusuff
"Super"
14-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
25-14
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
28 fights · 17-11
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
L
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—