Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Shin Haraguchi
JaeHyun Park
55%
45%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 5"
73"
25
Age
Δ 3y
22
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Haraguchi: 15 sig / 17 TD ·
Park: 12 sig / 0 TD
Shin Haraguchi
JaeHyun Park
37
Sig strikes landed
28
70
Sig strikes attempted
60
50
Total strikes landed
41
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.3
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
205s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Shin Haraguchi
9-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Road to UFC 2.3 + 2.4
—
Blue corner
JaeHyun Park
"The First Prospect"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22