Back to UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
Prelims1 Featherweight

SeungWoo Choi vs Jarno Errens

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie ·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
SeungWoo Choi
Jarno Errens
48% 52%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
31
Age
Δ 2y
29
11-9
Career record
Δ 9 pp
14-7-1
L3
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Choi: 56 sig / 1 TD · Errens: 30 sig / 0 TD
SeungWoo Choi
Jarno Errens
37
Sig strikes landed
33
88
Sig strikes attempted
82
53
Total strikes landed
47
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

SeungWoo Choi

"Sting"
11-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 8 fights · 3-5
Last 5
L UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
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L UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
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L UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
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W UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
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W UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
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Blue corner
L1

Jarno Errens

14-7-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
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