Back to UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
Prelims1 Welterweight

Billy Ray Goff vs Yusaku Kinoshita

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie ·Singapore Indoor Stadium
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Billy Ray Goff
Yusaku Kinoshita
63% 37%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
25
Age
Δ 2y
23
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Goff: 40 sig / 0 TD · Kinoshita: 17 sig / 0 TD
Billy Ray Goff
Yusaku Kinoshita
38
Sig strikes landed
27
67
Sig strikes attempted
60
56
Total strikes landed
40
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
146s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Billy Ray Goff

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
Blue corner
L1

Yusaku Kinoshita

6-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23
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