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Anthony Smith vs Ryan Spann

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie ·Singapore Indoor Stadium
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Anthony Smith
Ryan Spann
60% 40%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
79"
35
Age
Δ 3y
32
38-23
Career record
Δ 4 pp
24-12
L2
Current streak
L1
19
UFC fights in our DB
10

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Smith: 91 sig / 1 TD · Spann: 59 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Smith
Ryan Spann
28
Sig strikes landed
42
56
Sig strikes attempted
86
38
Total strikes landed
52
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
92s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Anthony Smith

"Lionheart"
38-23
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 19 fights · 11-8
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
W UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—
Blue corner
L1

Ryan Spann

"Superman"
24-12
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
W UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
W UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—