Prelims1
Flyweight
Cody Durden vs Jake Hadley
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
·Bridgestone Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Cody Durden
Jake Hadley
53%
47%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
19-10-1
Career record
Δ 12 pp
12-4
W3
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Durden: 38 sig / 4 TD ·
Hadley: 26 sig / 0 TD
Cody Durden
Jake Hadley
35
Sig strikes landed
30
71
Sig strikes attempted
66
51
Total strikes landed
46
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.3
4.7
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
235s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Cody Durden
"Custom Made"
19-10-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
Blue corner
W2
Jake Hadley
"White Kong"
12-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—