Back to UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
Prelims1 Flyweight

Ode Osbourne vs Asu Almabayev

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font ·Bridgestone Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Ode Osbourne
Asu Almabayev
22% 78%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 8"
65"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
W1
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Osbourne: 4 sig / 0 TD · Almabayev: 26 sig / 2 TD
Ode Osbourne
Asu Almabayev
26
Sig strikes landed
34
74
Sig strikes attempted
62
38
Total strikes landed
48
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
53s
Control time
182s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Ode Osbourne

"The Jamaican Sensation"
14-9 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
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L UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
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Blue corner

Asu Almabayev

"Zulfikar"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30