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Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Juliana Miller vs Luana Santos

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Juliana Miller
Luana Santos
33% 67%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
27
Age
Δ 4y
23
L1
Current streak
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Miller: 24 sig / 0 TD · Santos: 63 sig / 0 TD
Juliana Miller
Luana Santos
36
Sig strikes landed
40
88
Sig strikes attempted
79
65
Total strikes landed
69
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.8
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
226s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
27%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Juliana Miller

"Killer"
5-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
Blue corner

Luana Santos

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23