Back to UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2
Prelims2 Middleweight

Shara Magomedov vs Bruno Silva

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 ·Etihad Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Shara Magomedov
Bruno Silva
73% 27%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
29
Age
Δ 5y
34
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Magomedov: 113 sig / 0 TD · Silva: 65 sig / 3 TD
Shara Magomedov
Bruno Silva
44
Sig strikes landed
39
87
Sig strikes attempted
79
58
Total strikes landed
51
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
161s
Control time
61s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Shara Magomedov

"Bullet"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
L1

Bruno Silva

"Blindado"
23-14
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
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