Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Jessica-Rose Clark vs Tainara Lisboa
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
·Spectrum Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Jessica-Rose Clark
Tainara Lisboa
48%
52%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
36
Age
Δ 3y
32
L2
Current streak
—
8
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Clark: 26 sig / 1 TD ·
Lisboa: 42 sig / 1 TD
Jessica-Rose Clark
Tainara Lisboa
48
Sig strikes landed
39
90
Sig strikes attempted
88
73
Total strikes landed
64
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
250s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Jessica-Rose Clark
11-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
Blue corner
Tainara Lisboa
"Thai Panther"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32