Back to Road to UFC 2.3 + 2.4
Main Lightweight

WonBin Ki vs Bahatebole Batebolati

Road to UFC 2.3 + 2.4 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
WonBin Ki
Bahatebole Batebolati
48% 52%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
32
Age
Δ 7y
26
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
DQ · Round 2
Ki: 34 sig / 0 TD · Batebolati: 32 sig / 1 TD
WonBin Ki
Bahatebole Batebolati
30
Sig strikes landed
26
54
Sig strikes attempted
42
45
Total strikes landed
43
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
134s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
30%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

WonBin Ki

"The Danger"
18-10
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L Road to UFC 1.5
—
W Road to UFC 1.1
—
Blue corner

Bahatebole Batebolati

"Lion King"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26