Prelims2
Women's Strawweight
Jaqueline Amorim vs Sam Hughes
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
·Kaseya Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jaqueline Amorim
Sam Hughes
72%
28%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
64"
28
Age
Δ 3y
31
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Amorim: 12 sig / 2 TD ·
Hughes: 46 sig / 1 TD
Jaqueline Amorim
Sam Hughes
47
Sig strikes landed
47
109
Sig strikes attempted
99
78
Total strikes landed
71
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
144s
Control time
235s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jaqueline Amorim
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
L1
Sam Hughes
"Sampage"
11-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
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L
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
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