Back to UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
Prelims2 Women's Flyweight

Juliana Miller vs Veronica Hardy

UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 ·The O2 Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Juliana Miller
Veronica Hardy
59% 41%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
27
Age
Δ 0y
27
6-4
Career record
Δ 1 pp
10-6-1
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Miller: 30 sig / 0 TD · Hardy: 62 sig / 4 TD
Juliana Miller
Veronica Hardy
43
Sig strikes landed
28
99
Sig strikes attempted
43
66
Total strikes landed
66
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.10
Knockdowns
-0.10
227s
Control time
191s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
54%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Juliana Miller

"Killer"
6-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
Blue corner
L1

Veronica Hardy

10-6-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database 5 fights · 1-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
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W UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
L UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
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