Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jordan Leavitt
Victor Martinez
71%
29%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
L1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Leavitt: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Martinez: 7 sig / 0 TD
Jordan Leavitt
Victor Martinez
29
Sig strikes landed
24
52
Sig strikes attempted
37
46
Total strikes landed
36
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.1
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
221s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jordan Leavitt
"The Monkey King"
13-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
Victor Martinez
"The Brick"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32