Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Andre Fili
Bill Algeo
62%
38%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
32
Age
Δ 1y
33
25-14
Career record
Δ 4 pp
19-9
L2
Current streak
W2
18
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Fili: 59 sig / 1 TD ·
Algeo: 81 sig / 0 TD
Andre Fili
Bill Algeo
56
Sig strikes landed
59
131
Sig strikes attempted
123
67
Total strikes landed
81
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
107s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
25-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
18 fights · 9-8
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
Blue corner
W2
Bill Algeo
"Senor Perfecto"
19-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
—