Back to UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa
Prelims1 Women's Featherweight

Stephanie Egger vs Ailin Perez

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa ·Accor Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Stephanie Egger
Ailin Perez
28% 72%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
L1
Current streak
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4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Egger: 15 sig / 2 TD · Perez: 16 sig / 1 TD
Stephanie Egger
Ailin Perez
23
Sig strikes landed
28
49
Sig strikes attempted
47
42
Total strikes landed
62
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.6
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
146s
Control time
197s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
44%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Stephanie Egger

8-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
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W UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
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W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
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L UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
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Blue corner

Ailin Perez

"Fiona"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Switch
Age
28