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Prelims2 Women's Flyweight

Jessica Eye vs Maycee Barber

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jessica Eye
Maycee Barber
17% 83%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
65"
36
Age
Δ 12y
24
15-12
Career record
Δ 29 pp
16-3
L3
Current streak
W2
15
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Eye: 35 sig / 1 TD · Barber: 63 sig / 0 TD
Jessica Eye
Maycee Barber
53
Sig strikes landed
61
117
Sig strikes attempted
133
72
Total strikes landed
90
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.7
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
144s
Control time
174s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Jessica Eye

"Evil"
15-12 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 15 fights · 5-9
Last 5
L UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
L UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
L UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
W UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
L UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Blue corner
W2

Maycee Barber

"The Future"
16-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
In our database 7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
L UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
L UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
W UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…