Back to UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
Prelims2 Bantamweight

Julio Arce vs Daniel Santos

UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie ·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Julio Arce
Daniel Santos
53% 47%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
67"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
L1
Current streak
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7
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Arce: 127 sig / 0 TD · Santos: 49 sig / 0 TD
Julio Arce
Daniel Santos
50
Sig strikes landed
42
114
Sig strikes attempted
95
64
Total strikes landed
55
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
128s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Julio Arce

19-7
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
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W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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L UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
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W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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L UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
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Blue corner

Daniel Santos

"Willycat"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27