Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Devin Clark
William Knight
58%
42%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
32
Age
Δ 2y
34
14-10
Career record
Δ 6 pp
11-6
L2
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Clark: 34 sig / 2 TD ·
Knight: 21 sig / 1 TD
Devin Clark
William Knight
35
Sig strikes landed
29
55
Sig strikes attempted
55
59
Total strikes landed
45
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.5
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
188s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Devin Clark
"Brown Bear"
14-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
12 fights · 6-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—
W
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
Blue corner
L1
William Knight
"Knightmare"
11-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—