Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Davey Grant
Adrian Yanez
39%
61%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
36
Age
Δ 8y
28
18-9
Career record
Δ 5 pp
18-6-1
L1
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Grant: 98 sig / 0 TD ·
Yanez: 100 sig / 0 TD
Davey Grant
Adrian Yanez
49
Sig strikes landed
48
127
Sig strikes attempted
122
54
Total strikes landed
52
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
86s
Control time
49s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Davey Grant
"Dangerous"
18-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
Blue corner
W3
Adrian Yanez
18-6-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—