Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Danny Roberts
Ramazan Emeev
49%
51%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
34
Age
Δ 0y
34
19-8
Career record
Δ 7 pp
21-6
W1
Current streak
W2
10
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Roberts: 34 sig / 1 TD ·
Emeev: 40 sig / 2 TD
Danny Roberts
Ramazan Emeev
32
Sig strikes landed
37
75
Sig strikes attempted
92
41
Total strikes landed
59
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.9
1.4
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
74s
Control time
204s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Danny Roberts
"Hot Chocolate"
19-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—
Blue corner
W2
Ramazan Emeev
"Gorets"
21-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—