Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Albert Duraev
Roman Kopylov
54%
46%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
33
Age
Δ 3y
30
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Duraev: 71 sig / 1 TD ·
Kopylov: 42 sig / 1 TD
Albert Duraev
Roman Kopylov
39
Sig strikes landed
36
78
Sig strikes attempted
83
55
Total strikes landed
44
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
104s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Albert Duraev
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner
L1
Roman Kopylov
15-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
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