Back to UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
Prelims1 Flyweight

Tagir Ulanbekov vs Allan Nascimento

UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira ·Etihad Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Tagir Ulanbekov
Allan Nascimento
52% 48%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
W1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Ulanbekov: 18 sig / 4 TD · Nascimento: 25 sig / 0 TD
Tagir Ulanbekov
Allan Nascimento
41
Sig strikes landed
38
107
Sig strikes attempted
93
60
Total strikes landed
48
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.7
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
222s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Tagir Ulanbekov

18-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
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Blue corner

Allan Nascimento

"Puro Osso"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30